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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 21 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 21 September 2021. Ajaccio vs Niort sits top on 54% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 59%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 60% Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 19%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 66%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 11%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 21%
Draw 39%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 46%
Draw 37%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 17%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
4 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 34%
Draw 41%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 62%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
1 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
2 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#13 League One · England
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Nimes
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
3 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 League One · England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Crotone
0 : 3 FT
Lecce
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Dijon
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 2 FT
Altay
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 21 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Niort at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.