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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 17 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 17 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ionikos vs Aris Thessalonikis at 70% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 36%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 81% ✓ Ionikos Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 40%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 2 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 32%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 62%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Desna
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Cadiz
Win 27%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
3 : 4 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 2 FT
AS Eupen
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ionikos vs Aris Thessalonikis at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.