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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 24 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Shakhtar Donetsk vs Inhulets at 70% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 49%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 17%
Draw 55%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 95% BTTS No 86% Inhulets Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 17%
βœ“ Draw 55%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 94% BTTS No 86% Cracovia Krakow Clean Sheet 70%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 1 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 2%
Draw 15%
Win 83%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 71% Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 70%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 2%
Draw 15%
Win 83%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 71% Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 70%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 19%
βœ“ Draw 49%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 89% BTTS No 79% Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 62%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 20%
Draw 47%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS No 75% Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 59%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 36%
Draw 42%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 13%
Draw 32%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
4 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
1 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 21%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 4 FT
Paris FC
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 21%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 21%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 4%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 4%
Draw 14%
Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Dynamo Dresden
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 4%
Draw 14%
Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 4%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 24 July 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shakhtar Donetsk vs Inhulets at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.