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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 11 April 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 11 April 2021. Akropolis vs IK brage led the list at 61% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Superettan supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
1 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 35%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 88% BTTS No 80% Akropolis Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 35%
Draw 42%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS No 80% Orgryte IS Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
5 : 1 FT
Vasalund
Win 23%
Draw 40%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 78% Vasalund Clean Sheet 59%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 23%
Draw 40%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 78% Norrby IF Clean Sheet 59%
#5 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 24%
Draw 43%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 69%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Santiago Wanderers
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 28%
Draw 44%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 68%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
0 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 37%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
5 : 0 FT
Incheon United
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Haugesund
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 April 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Akropolis vs IK brage at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.