Most Likely Outcome
Yunnan Yukun Win
52%
1.93
21%
4.66
27%
3.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.2%
Draw
2 – 2
6.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.03
Yunnan Yukun xG
Total xG
3.45
1.42
Shandong Luneng xG
Yunnan YukunDrawShandong Luneng
1.93
52%
Home win
4.66
21%
Draw
3.73
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.93
Clean Sheet
24%
4.13
13%
7.61
Win to Nil
13%
7.99
4%
28.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.030
λ Away (xG)
1.419
Total xG
3.449
League avg home goals
1.812
League avg away goals
1.189
Yunnan Yukun attack strength
1.114
Yunnan Yukun defence strength
1.009
Shandong Luneng attack strength
1.183
Shandong Luneng defence strength
1.006
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
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