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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

12:35

Venue

Baoan Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sichuan Jiuniu Win

40%

Sichuan Jiuniu

2.50

27%

Draw

3.77

33%

Qingdao Youth Island

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Sichuan Jiuniu xG

Total xG

2.99

1.42

Qingdao Youth Island xG

40%
27%
33%
Sichuan JiuniuDrawQingdao Youth Island

2.50

40%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

24%

Sichuan Jiuniu

4.15

21%

Qingdao Youth Island

4.81

Win to Nil

10%

Sichuan Jiuniu

10.36

7%

Qingdao Youth Island

14.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.1 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.2
1 7.9 11.2 8.0 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.8 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.2 4.6 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.570
λ Away (xG) 1.422
Total xG 2.992
League avg home goals 1.885
League avg away goals 1.376
Sichuan Jiuniu attack strength 0.979
Sichuan Jiuniu defence strength 1.131
Qingdao Youth Island attack strength 0.913
Qingdao Youth Island defence strength 0.851
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54