Most Likely Outcome
Shenyang Urban Win
63%
1.59
18%
5.61
19%
5.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
7.5%
Home win
1 – 1
6.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.57
Shenyang Urban xG
Total xG
3.96
1.39
Dalian Zhixing xG
Shenyang UrbanDrawDalian Zhixing
1.59
63%
Home win
5.61
18%
Draw
5.23
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
76%
Over 2.5
1.32
24%
Under 2.5
4.17
56%
Over 3.5
1.79
44%
Under 3.5
2.27
36%
Over 4.5
2.78
64%
Under 4.5
1.56
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.44
31%
BTTS No
3.25
Clean Sheet
25%
3.99
8%
13.09
Win to Nil
16%
6.33
1%
68.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.572
λ Away (xG)
1.385
Total xG
3.957
League avg home goals
1.678
League avg away goals
1.155
Shenyang Urban attack strength
1.162
Shenyang Urban defence strength
0.979
Dalian Zhixing attack strength
1.225
Dalian Zhixing defence strength
1.319
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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