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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Beijing Guoan Win

30%

Qingdao Youth Island

3.36

25%

Draw

4.00

45%

Beijing Guoan

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Qingdao Youth Island xG

Total xG

3.15

1.76

Beijing Guoan xG

30%
25%
45%
Qingdao Youth IslandDrawBeijing Guoan

3.36

30%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

17%

Qingdao Youth Island

5.80

25%

Beijing Guoan

4.04

Win to Nil

5%

Qingdao Youth Island

19.47

11%

Beijing Guoan

8.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.5 6.6 3.9 1.7 0.6
1 6.0 10.5 9.2 5.4 2.4 0.8
2 4.2 7.3 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.9 3.4 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.757
Total xG 3.153
League avg home goals 1.802
League avg away goals 1.365
Qingdao Youth Island attack strength 0.838
Qingdao Youth Island defence strength 0.932
Beijing Guoan attack strength 1.381
Beijing Guoan defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50