Most Likely Outcome
Henan Jianye Win
33%
3.00
23%
4.32
44%
2.30
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
2 – 1
7.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.49
Qingdao Jonoon xG
Total xG
3.22
1.73
Henan Jianye xG
Qingdao JonoonDrawHenan Jianye
3.00
33%
Home win
4.32
23%
Draw
2.30
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.76
Clean Sheet
18%
5.64
23%
4.44
Win to Nil
6%
16.93
10%
10.20
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 10.3 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.490
λ Away (xG)
1.730
Total xG
3.220
League avg home goals
1.908
League avg away goals
1.153
Qingdao Jonoon attack strength
0.906
Qingdao Jonoon defence strength
1.326
Henan Jianye attack strength
1.132
Henan Jianye defence strength
0.862
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
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