Most Likely Outcome
Henan Jianye Win
48%
2.07
25%
4.06
27%
3.69
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.62
Henan Jianye xG
Total xG
2.77
1.15
Hangzhou Greentown xG
Henan JianyeDrawHangzhou Greentown
2.07
48%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
3.69
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
32%
3.17
20%
5.05
Win to Nil
15%
6.57
5%
18.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 11.7 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.5 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.620
λ Away (xG)
1.153
Total xG
2.773
League avg home goals
1.656
League avg away goals
1.323
Henan Jianye attack strength
0.866
Henan Jianye defence strength
0.861
Hangzhou Greentown attack strength
1.012
Hangzhou Greentown defence strength
1.130
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44