Most Likely Outcome
Hangzhou Greentown Win
39%
2.56
28%
3.56
33%
3.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
0 – 1
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Hangzhou Greentown xG
Total xG
2.49
1.18
Tianjin Teda xG
Hangzhou GreentownDrawTianjin Teda
2.56
39%
Home win
3.56
28%
Draw
3.04
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.95
49%
BTTS No
2.05
Clean Sheet
31%
3.26
27%
3.71
Win to Nil
12%
8.37
9%
11.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.8 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.311
λ Away (xG)
1.183
Total xG
2.494
League avg home goals
1.675
League avg away goals
1.208
Hangzhou Greentown attack strength
0.835
Hangzhou Greentown defence strength
0.835
Tianjin Teda attack strength
1.172
Tianjin Teda defence strength
0.938
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40