Most Likely Outcome
Hangzhou Greentown Win
45%
2.22
23%
4.31
32%
3.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
1 – 2
7.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Hangzhou Greentown xG
Total xG
3.19
1.44
Qingdao Jonoon xG
Hangzhou GreentownDrawQingdao Jonoon
2.22
45%
Home win
4.31
23%
Draw
3.16
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.70
Clean Sheet
24%
4.21
17%
5.77
Win to Nil
11%
9.32
5%
18.20
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.752
λ Away (xG)
1.437
Total xG
3.189
League avg home goals
1.720
League avg away goals
1.375
Hangzhou Greentown attack strength
0.885
Hangzhou Greentown defence strength
1.072
Qingdao Jonoon attack strength
0.974
Qingdao Jonoon defence strength
1.152
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47