Most Likely Outcome
Dalian Zhixing Win
55%
1.83
26%
3.89
20%
5.13
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
2 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Dalian Zhixing xG
Total xG
2.34
0.80
Henan Jianye xG
Dalian ZhixingDrawHenan Jianye
1.83
55%
Home win
3.89
26%
Draw
5.13
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
21%
4.66
Win to Nil
25%
4.07
4%
23.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.8 | 11.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.538
λ Away (xG)
0.801
Total xG
2.339
League avg home goals
1.707
League avg away goals
1.150
Dalian Zhixing attack strength
1.006
Dalian Zhixing defence strength
0.719
Henan Jianye attack strength
0.968
Henan Jianye defence strength
0.896
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
35 / 35