Most Likely Outcome
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win
52%
1.91
21%
4.78
27%
3.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.6%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.12
Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
Total xG
3.59
1.47
Wuhan Three Towns xG
Chongqing Tongliang LongDrawWuhan Three Towns
1.91
52%
Home win
4.78
21%
Draw
3.75
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.10
Clean Sheet
23%
4.35
12%
8.30
Win to Nil
12%
8.31
3%
31.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.116
λ Away (xG)
1.471
Total xG
3.587
League avg home goals
1.955
League avg away goals
1.158
Chongqing Tongliang Long attack strength
0.893
Chongqing Tongliang Long defence strength
1.214
Wuhan Three Towns attack strength
1.047
Wuhan Three Towns defence strength
1.212
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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