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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 3 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior at 65% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 46%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 65%
Fortuna Sittard
5 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain 62%
Athletic Club
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 60%
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Premier League Β· England 57%
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 21%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
Hamburger SV
1 : 2 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 56%
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece 55%
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile 54%
Union La Calera
1 : 3 FT
Deportes Iquique
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland 54%
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France 53%
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy 52%
Feralpisalo
1 : 3 FT
Sampdoria
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 51%
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria 49%
WSG Wattens
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 49%
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy 48%
Hellas Verona
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 48%
Dender
1 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece 47%
Kifisia
2 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 46%
Genk
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland 46%
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 3 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior at 65% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.