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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 11 February 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 February 2024. Heerenveen vs Ajax sits top on 70% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 47%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 70%
Heerenveen
3 : 2 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 64%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 63%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 62%
Sporting CP
5 : 0 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 61%
KRC Genk II
2 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France 61%
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland 57%
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 57%
Police Tero
0 : 4 FT
Port FC
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 55%
Charleroi
1 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 54%
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece 53%
Lamia
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 52%
Widzew Łódź
1 : 3 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 51%
Trat FC
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 49%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland 49%
Yverdon Sport
2 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 48%
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Premier League Β· England 48%
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece 47%
Panserraikos
0 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany 47%
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 11 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heerenveen vs Ajax at 70% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.