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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 1 October 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 1 October 2023. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen led the list at 67% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 52%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 67%
SV Darmstadt 98
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 65%
Dender
1 : 3 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 37%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 62%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 60%
Jagiellonia
2 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain 60%
Almeria
3 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 59%
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 59%
Fenerbahçe
5 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia 59%
Krylia Sovetov
4 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 58%
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 58%
Heracles
2 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 57%
Vitória SC
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 57%
Pogon Szczecin
5 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 55%
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain 54%
Alaves
0 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France 53%
Lorient
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 53%
VVV Venlo
0 : 4 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 53%
Adana Demirspor
4 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
SV Elversberg
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria 52%
TSV Hartberg
0 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 1 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen at 67% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.