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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 29 September 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 29 September 2023. 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund led the list at 65% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 45%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 65%
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 36%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 63%
Telstar
3 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
Cambuur
3 : 4 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland 56%
Dundalk
3 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 53%
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
Hamburger SV
1 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Super League Β· China 52%
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 52%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France 51%
Strasbourg
0 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 49%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 49%
Baniyas SC
0 : 0 FT
Emirates Club
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 48%
VPS
1 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Super League Β· China 46%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain 46%
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 46%
AC Oulu
2 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 45%
Standard Liège II
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia 45%
FC Rostov
2 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 45%
Ajman
3 : 5 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Super League Β· China 45%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 29 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund at 65% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.