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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 September 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 September 2023. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach led the list at 72% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 48%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 72%
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 28%
Draw 20%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway 68%
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 35%
Draw 20%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 64%
Excelsior
0 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 62%
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France 61%
Lorient
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France 61%
Lyon
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain 59%
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia 58%
Lokomotiv
0 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 58%
GIL Vicente
5 : 3 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 57%
Francs Borains
2 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway 56%
Valerenga
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
1. FC Heidenheim
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway 54%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 52%
Twente
3 : 1 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 51%
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 50%
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 49%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway 49%
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria 48%
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 48%
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 17 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 72% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.