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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 30 September 2022

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 September 2022. Den Bosch vs Heracles sits top on 56% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 53%
FC Porto
4 : 1 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 52%
MVV
3 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 51%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 51%
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 50%
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 49%
Standard Liege
0 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Super League Β· China 49%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 47%
Telstar
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 43%
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 League Two Β· England 42%
Mansfield Town
2 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#16 Championship Β· England 41%
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 41%
Excelsior Virton
3 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France 41%
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%

Showing top 18 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 30 September 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs Heracles at 56% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.