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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

37%

Vitoria

2.71

36%

Draw

2.78

27%

Flamengo

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.24

1.02

Flamengo xG

37%
36%
27%
VitoriaDrawFlamengo

2.71

37%

Home win

2.78

36%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

36%

Vitoria

2.78

30%

Flamengo

3.39

Win to Nil

13%

Vitoria

7.54

8%

Flamengo

12.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 10.9 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 1.023
Total xG 2.243
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 0.881
Vitoria attack strength 0.989
Vitoria defence strength 1.017
Flamengo attack strength 1.141
Flamengo defence strength 0.907
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39