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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Sport Recife

3.30

36%

Draw

2.74

33%

Palmeiras

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

2.22

1.14

Palmeiras xG

30%
36%
33%
Sport RecifeDrawPalmeiras

3.30

30%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

32%

Sport Recife

3.12

34%

Palmeiras

2.94

Win to Nil

10%

Sport Recife

10.28

11%

Palmeiras

8.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 12.4 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.8 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.3 7.2 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.079
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.216
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 0.881
Sport Recife attack strength 0.865
Sport Recife defence strength 1.150
Palmeiras attack strength 1.122
Palmeiras defence strength 0.918
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39