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Stalemate at Sport Recife's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sport Recife and Fortaleza EC finished level at 0-0 at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Regular Season - 6, in the Serie A. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sport Recife 1.07 xG and Fortaleza EC 1.14 xG, a combined 2.20. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Sport Recife fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Fortaleza EC landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sport Recife attack 0.71 / defence 1.22 against Fortaleza EC attack 1.02 / defence 1.03, drawn from 5/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sport Recife 31% | Draw 35% | Fortaleza EC 34%, with the draw its most likely call at 35%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights