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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Sport Recife

3.28

35%

Draw

2.83

34%

Fortaleza EC

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

2.20

1.14

Fortaleza EC xG

31%
35%
34%
Sport RecifeDrawFortaleza EC

3.28

31%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

32%

Sport Recife

3.11

34%

Fortaleza EC

2.90

Win to Nil

10%

Sport Recife

10.20

12%

Fortaleza EC

8.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.6 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.8 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.3 7.1 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 1.136
Total xG 2.202
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 0.910
Sport Recife attack strength 0.714
Sport Recife defence strength 1.219
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.025
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43