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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 15 Nov 2025

21:30

Venue

Arena Pernambuco

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

15%

Sport Recife

6.58

20%

Draw

4.95

65%

Flamengo

1.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

2.95

2.06

Flamengo xG

15%
20%
65%
Sport RecifeDrawFlamengo

6.58

15%

Home win

4.95

20%

Draw

1.55

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

13%

Sport Recife

7.85

41%

Flamengo

2.42

Win to Nil

2%

Sport Recife

51.67

27%

Flamengo

3.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 10.8 11.2 7.7 4.0 1.6
1 4.7 9.6 9.9 6.8 3.5 1.4
2 2.1 4.2 4.4 3.0 1.5 0.6
3 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.885
λ Away (xG) 2.061
Total xG 2.946
League avg home goals 1.394
League avg away goals 0.993
Sport Recife attack strength 0.803
Sport Recife defence strength 1.647
Flamengo attack strength 1.260
Flamengo defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70