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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sport Recife Win

37%

Sport Recife

2.70

35%

Draw

2.85

28%

Cruzeiro

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

1.74

0.79

Cruzeiro xG

37%
35%
28%
Sport RecifeDrawCruzeiro

2.70

37%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.91

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

45%

Sport Recife

2.20

39%

Cruzeiro

2.59

Win to Nil

17%

Sport Recife

5.94

11%

Cruzeiro

9.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5 13.8 5.4 1.4 0.3
1 16.7 13.2 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 8.0 6.3 2.5 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 0.6 0.5 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.953
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 1.741
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 0.828
Sport Recife attack strength 0.645
Sport Recife defence strength 1.115
Cruzeiro attack strength 0.853
Cruzeiro defence strength 1.047
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 45