Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

00:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

53%

Santos

1.90

25%

Draw

3.98

22%

Ceara

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Santos xG

Total xG

2.67

1.00

Ceara xG

53%
25%
22%
SantosDrawCeara

1.90

53%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

37%

Santos

2.71

19%

Ceara

5.33

Win to Nil

19%

Santos

5.14

4%

Ceara

24.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.9 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.6 11.6 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.671
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 0.861
Santos attack strength 0.982
Santos defence strength 1.258
Ceara attack strength 0.921
Ceara defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 7