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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 1 Jun 2025

15:00

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

62%

Mirassol

1.62

23%

Draw

4.26

15%

Sport Recife

6.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.84

0.88

Sport Recife xG

62%
23%
15%
MirassolDrawSport Recife

1.62

62%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

6.68

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

42%

Mirassol

2.41

14%

Sport Recife

7.11

Win to Nil

26%

Mirassol

3.91

2%

Sport Recife

47.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.5 10.1 4.4 1.3 0.3
2 11.2 9.9 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 7.4 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.962
λ Away (xG) 0.878
Total xG 2.840
League avg home goals 1.314
League avg away goals 0.856
Mirassol attack strength 1.177
Mirassol defence strength 1.301
Sport Recife attack strength 0.788
Sport Recife defence strength 1.268
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 10