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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

47%

Mirassol

2.12

28%

Draw

3.56

25%

Santos

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.42

0.97

Santos xG

47%
28%
25%
MirassolDrawSantos

2.12

47%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

38%

Mirassol

2.65

24%

Santos

4.24

Win to Nil

18%

Mirassol

5.61

6%

Santos

17.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 8.7 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.9 12.5 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.1 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.445
λ Away (xG) 0.974
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 0.926
Mirassol attack strength 1.050
Mirassol defence strength 1.155
Santos attack strength 0.911
Santos defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 13