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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

75%

Mirassol

1.33

15%

Draw

6.89

10%

Juventude

9.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

3 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.75

Mirassol xG

Total xG

3.70

0.94

Juventude xG

75%
15%
MirassolDrawJuventude

1.33

75%

Home win

6.89

15%

Draw

9.77

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

39%

Mirassol

2.57

6%

Juventude

15.72

Win to Nil

29%

Mirassol

3.41

1%

Juventude

153.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 9.4 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.6 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.9 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
5 3.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.755
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 3.698
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.103
Mirassol attack strength 1.349
Mirassol defence strength 1.053
Juventude attack strength 0.812
Juventude defence strength 1.495
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60