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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

37%

Mirassol

2.70

35%

Draw

2.85

28%

Fortaleza EC

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.36

1.09

Fortaleza EC xG

37%
35%
28%
MirassolDrawFortaleza EC

2.70

37%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

34%

Mirassol

2.97

28%

Fortaleza EC

3.58

Win to Nil

12%

Mirassol

8.03

8%

Fortaleza EC

12.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.2 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 13.1 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.275
λ Away (xG) 1.089
Total xG 2.364
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 0.881
Mirassol attack strength 0.865
Mirassol defence strength 1.150
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.074
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.084
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39