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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

21:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

44%

Mirassol

2.27

26%

Draw

3.90

30%

Flamengo

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.67

1.19

Flamengo xG

44%
26%
30%
MirassolDrawFlamengo

2.27

44%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

30%

Mirassol

3.28

23%

Flamengo

4.42

Win to Nil

13%

Mirassol

7.44

7%

Flamengo

14.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.2 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.2 12.2 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.8 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.487
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.675
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.019
Mirassol attack strength 1.239
Mirassol defence strength 0.854
Flamengo attack strength 1.365
Flamengo defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 75