Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

57%

Mirassol

1.76

27%

Draw

3.64

16%

Atletico-MG

6.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.67

0.88

Atletico-MG xG

57%
27%
16%
MirassolDrawAtletico-MG

1.76

57%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

6.29

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

42%

Mirassol

2.41

17%

Atletico-MG

5.98

Win to Nil

24%

Mirassol

4.25

3%

Atletico-MG

37.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 12.4 10.9 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 6.6 5.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
4 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.789
λ Away (xG) 0.878
Total xG 2.667
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 0.894
Mirassol attack strength 1.114
Mirassol defence strength 1.150
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.854
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43