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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gremio Win
57%
1.75
26%
3.88
17%
5.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.0%
Home win
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.64
Gremio xG
Total xG
2.41
0.78
Sport Recife xG
GremioDrawSport Recife
1.75
57%
Home win
3.88
26%
Draw
5.89
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
46%
2.17
19%
5.14
Win to Nil
26%
3.79
3%
30.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.637
λ Away (xG)
0.776
Total xG
2.413
League avg home goals
1.288
League avg away goals
1.030
Gremio attack strength
0.968
Gremio defence strength
0.983
Sport Recife attack strength
0.766
Sport Recife defence strength
1.313
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 16