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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Arena do Grêmio

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gremio Win

40%

Gremio

2.49

30%

Draw

3.33

30%

Ceara

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Gremio xG

Total xG

2.06

0.93

Ceara xG

40%
30%
30%
GremioDrawCeara

2.49

40%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

39%

Gremio

2.53

32%

Ceara

3.11

Win to Nil

16%

Gremio

6.30

10%

Ceara

10.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 11.8 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.4 13.4 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.2 7.6 3.5 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.134
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.064
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.118
Gremio attack strength 0.847
Gremio defence strength 0.974
Ceara attack strength 0.854
Ceara defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 19