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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Estádio do Maracanã

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fluminense Win

73%

Fluminense

1.36

18%

Draw

5.61

9%

Bahia

11.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

3 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Fluminense xG

Total xG

2.71

0.58

Bahia xG

73%
18%
FluminenseDrawBahia

1.36

73%

Home win

5.61

18%

Draw

11.29

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

56%

Fluminense

1.79

12%

Bahia

8.40

Win to Nil

41%

Fluminense

2.45

1%

Bahia

94.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.1 8.3 2.4 0.5 0.1
2 15.0 8.8 2.6 0.5 0.1
3 10.7 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 5.7 3.3 1.0 0.2
5 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.128
λ Away (xG) 0.584
Total xG 2.712
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.028
Fluminense attack strength 1.172
Fluminense defence strength 0.639
Bahia attack strength 0.888
Bahia defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75