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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 1 Jun 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

37%

Cruzeiro

2.73

33%

Draw

3.00

30%

Palmeiras

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Cruzeiro xG

Total xG

1.97

0.92

Palmeiras xG

37%
33%
30%
CruzeiroDrawPalmeiras

2.73

37%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

40%

Cruzeiro

2.51

35%

Palmeiras

2.85

Win to Nil

15%

Cruzeiro

6.85

10%

Palmeiras

9.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 12.8 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.5 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 7.7 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 2.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 0.921
Total xG 1.970
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 0.848
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.080
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.803
Palmeiras attack strength 1.353
Palmeiras defence strength 0.758
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48