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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Ceara

3.12

35%

Draw

2.84

33%

Gremio

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.23

1.12

Gremio xG

32%
35%
33%
CearaDrawGremio

3.12

32%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

32%

Ceara

3.08

33%

Gremio

3.03

Win to Nil

10%

Ceara

9.60

11%

Gremio

9.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 12.0 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.6 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.109
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 2.233
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 0.980
Ceara attack strength 0.865
Ceara defence strength 1.150
Gremio attack strength 0.998
Gremio defence strength 0.971
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39