🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bahia Win
64%
1.55
20%
4.89
15%
6.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.03
Bahia xG
Total xG
2.89
0.86
Fortaleza EC xG
BahiaDrawFortaleza EC
1.55
64%
Home win
4.89
20%
Draw
6.60
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
13%
7.58
Win to Nil
27%
3.69
2%
50.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.7 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.026
λ Away (xG)
0.865
Total xG
2.891
League avg home goals
1.413
League avg away goals
1.002
Bahia attack strength
1.180
Bahia defence strength
0.776
Fortaleza EC attack strength
1.112
Fortaleza EC defence strength
1.215
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
71 / 71