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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

54%

Bahia

1.84

26%

Draw

3.84

20%

Fluminense

5.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Bahia xG

Total xG

2.46

0.86

Fluminense xG

54%
26%
20%
BahiaDrawFluminense

1.84

54%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

5.11

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

42%

Bahia

2.36

20%

Fluminense

4.95

Win to Nil

23%

Bahia

4.34

4%

Fluminense

25.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 7.3 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 13.7 11.8 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.4 4.0 1.2 0.2
3 5.8 5.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 0.858
Total xG 2.458
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 0.998
Bahia attack strength 1.172
Bahia defence strength 0.857
Fluminense attack strength 1.003
Fluminense defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54