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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

00:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

48%

Bahia

2.08

32%

Draw

3.16

20%

Ceara

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Bahia xG

Total xG

2.49

0.95

Ceara xG

48%
32%
20%
BahiaDrawCeara

2.08

48%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

39%

Bahia

2.58

21%

Ceara

4.66

Win to Nil

19%

Bahia

5.36

4%

Ceara

22.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.9 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.8 12.1 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.3 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.539
λ Away (xG) 0.948
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 0.903
Bahia attack strength 0.877
Bahia defence strength 1.024
Ceara attack strength 1.024
Ceara defence strength 1.214
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4