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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

18:15

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

57%

Union St. Gilloise

1.74

27%

Draw

3.70

15%

St. Truiden

6.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.57

0.82

St. Truiden xG

57%
27%
15%
Union St. GilloiseDrawSt. Truiden

1.74

57%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

6.47

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

44%

Union St. Gilloise

2.27

17%

St. Truiden

5.73

Win to Nil

25%

Union St. Gilloise

3.95

3%

St. Truiden

37.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 6.3 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.4 11.0 4.5 1.2 0.3
2 11.7 9.6 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.8 5.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.746
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.567
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.096
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.435
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.689
St. Truiden attack strength 1.087
St. Truiden defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41