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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Group - 37

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

59%

Union St. Gilloise

1.68

23%

Draw

4.37

18%

KV Mechelen

5.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.66

0.86

KV Mechelen xG

59%
23%
18%
Union St. GilloiseDrawKV Mechelen

1.68

59%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

5.64

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.37

17%

KV Mechelen

6.01

Win to Nil

25%

Union St. Gilloise

3.99

3%

KV Mechelen

33.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 12.6 10.9 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.3 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.7 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.656
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.174
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.666
KV Mechelen attack strength 0.981
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60