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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

60%

Union St. Gilloise

1.68

23%

Draw

4.27

17%

Genk

5.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.69

0.86

Genk xG

60%
23%
17%
Union St. GilloiseDrawGenk

1.68

60%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

5.90

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.37

16%

Genk

6.18

Win to Nil

25%

Union St. Gilloise

3.98

3%

Genk

36.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.4 10.7 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.9 5.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.298
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.233
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.611
Genk attack strength 1.088
Genk defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57