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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Round - 7

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Mariën

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

48%

Union St. Gilloise

2.10

29%

Draw

3.50

24%

Genk

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.75

1.11

Genk xG

48%
29%
24%
Union St. GilloiseDrawGenk

2.10

48%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

33%

Union St. Gilloise

3.03

19%

Genk

5.17

Win to Nil

16%

Union St. Gilloise

6.36

5%

Genk

21.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.1 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.6 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.642
λ Away (xG) 1.110
Total xG 2.752
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.189
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.869
Genk attack strength 1.148
Genk defence strength 0.938
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60