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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

62%

Union St. Gilloise

1.61

25%

Draw

4.07

13%

Charleroi

7.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.69

0.79

Charleroi xG

62%
25%
13%
Union St. GilloiseDrawCharleroi

1.61

62%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

7.60

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

46%

Union St. Gilloise

2.19

15%

Charleroi

6.73

Win to Nil

28%

Union St. Gilloise

3.52

2%

Charleroi

51.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 10.1 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.8 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.907
λ Away (xG) 0.785
Total xG 2.692
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.110
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.399
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.644
Charleroi attack strength 1.099
Charleroi defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40