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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Group - 40

Kick-off

Sun 24 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

60%

Union St. Gilloise

1.66

22%

Draw

4.48

18%

Anderlecht

5.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.74

0.89

Anderlecht xG

60%
22%
18%
Union St. GilloiseDrawAnderlecht

1.66

60%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

5.69

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

41%

Union St. Gilloise

2.43

16%

Anderlecht

6.37

Win to Nil

25%

Union St. Gilloise

4.04

3%

Anderlecht

36.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 10.6 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.8 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.852
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.740
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.165
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.689
Anderlecht attack strength 0.975
Anderlecht defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60