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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

26%

Standard Liege

3.81

32%

Draw

3.16

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

1.94

1.12

Union St. Gilloise xG

26%
32%
42%
Standard LiegeDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.81

26%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

33%

Standard Liege

3.06

44%

Union St. Gilloise

2.27

Win to Nil

9%

Standard Liege

11.63

19%

Union St. Gilloise

5.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.4 16.1 9.0 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.2 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 4.8 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.818
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 1.935
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.302
Standard Liege attack strength 0.816
Standard Liege defence strength 1.029
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 0.834
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.763
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54