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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Group - 40

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

34%

Standard Liege

2.94

29%

Draw

3.46

37%

Charleroi

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.22

1.14

Charleroi xG

34%
29%
37%
Standard LiegeDrawCharleroi

2.94

34%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

32%

Standard Liege

3.13

34%

Charleroi

2.95

Win to Nil

11%

Standard Liege

9.18

13%

Charleroi

7.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 12.4 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.3 7.2 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.082
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.222
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Standard Liege attack strength 0.819
Standard Liege defence strength 0.923
Charleroi attack strength 0.935
Charleroi defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60