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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Group - 36

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Daio Wasabi Stayen

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

31%

St. Truiden

3.23

27%

Draw

3.68

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

St. Truiden xG

Total xG

2.44

1.33

Union St. Gilloise xG

31%
27%
42%
St. TruidenDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.23

31%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

26%

St. Truiden

3.80

33%

Union St. Gilloise

3.03

Win to Nil

8%

St. Truiden

12.26

14%

Union St. Gilloise

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.6 7.7 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 9.6 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.3 7.1 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 2.441
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
St. Truiden attack strength 1.058
St. Truiden defence strength 1.072
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 0.942
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.786
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60